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B_B schreef op 10 september 2014 15:38 :
18 september 2014
Brave New World (for Gold)
Shanghai Gold Exchange to Launch International Board on Sept. 29 Move Opens China's Tightly Controlled Gold Market to Foreign Capital Updated Sept. 11, 2014 6:07 a.m. ETonline.wsj.com/articles/shanghai-gold... 29 september i.p.v. 18 september
September is the time to buy gold, history suggests Over the past 20 years the gold price has shone in Septemberwww.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalf... Door de goudprijs omlaag te drukken in september proberen de centrale banken de Gold Bugs (lovers) weg te jagen. De daling van de goudprijs is om de komende stijging (opening Shanghai Gold Exchange) op te vangen. De daling is tijdelijk, maar de stijging is (bijna) oneindig.
Goudprijs moet eerst een bodem vinden als de prijs maar niet onder $1180 komt maar ik ben bang van wel gaat nu wel erg hard onderuit.
Dumpt China U.S. Treasuries?www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10... Stijging in U.S. Treasury Yield is een groot gevaar voor obligaties van Zuid Europese landen. Wordt de ECB weer gedwongen om heimelijk via Belgie U.S. Treasuries te kopen.
B_B schreef op 12 september 2014 13:18 :
[...]
Shanghai Gold Exchange to Launch International Board on Sept. 29
Move Opens China's Tightly Controlled Gold Market to Foreign Capital
Updated Sept. 11, 2014 6:07 a.m. ET
online.wsj.com/articles/shanghai-gold... 29 september i.p.v. 18 september
De prijsvorming van goud zal dan meer en meer gaan plaatsvinden in China; van fysiek goud wel te verstaan, want wij (het westen) hebben vrijwel geen fysiek goud meer. De papieren handel zal er steeds minder toe doen; we zullen zien wat dit voor onze aandeeltjes gaat betekenen ...
Keek op de week voor goud. Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net via Seeking Alpha,New Low In Silver; Lower Low In Gold Still To Come. Summary Silver has made a new low. Gold will still likely see a lower low as well. Upcoming week's expectations.seekingalpha.com/article/2493035-new-...
Hidden Chinese dragon wants to be Simba of the global gold market Will launch an international board on the Shanghai Gold Exchange on Sept 29 PUNE, SEPTEMBER 14: China may be the hidden dragon in the global gold market, but it is making strategic moves in its endeavour to become a roaring lion. A move towards this will be the launch of the international board on the Shanghai Gold Exchange on September 29 in the Shanghai Free Trade Zone. The international board, which will allow domestic and foreign players to participate, is an effort to earn global recognition for its gold market and will be followed a couple of measures that is aimed at dictating or becoming a price-setter in the global bullion market. “The impact of China in the global arena is set to increase,” says Jeremy East, Managing Director, Standard Chartered Bank. After the launch of the Shanghai international gold platform, China will be trying to set a benchmark price for gold on a par with London and New York next year. “That will make it a major force in Asia,” says an industry player not willing to identify. From thereon, there will be manoeuvres, including accumulating gold within the country, to become a force to reckon with in the global arena. Statistics and signals from China in the global market are clear indicators of its moves. Since 2011, China has imported 3,500 tonnes of gold. “In 2013, some 1,400 tonnes of gold were imported, while domestic production was a record 438 tonnes. In fact, it has absorbed nearly 2,000 tonnes of gold last year,” says East. Data from Thomson Reuters GFMS show that physical demand, excluding banking activity, was 1,283 tonnes last year, up 28.2 per cent over 2012. Gold and silver volumes on the Shanghai bourse have increased sharply compared with other global exchanges. Gold volume was up 24 per cent last year against a 28 per cent drop in New York. Silver volume increased 60 per cent against a 23 per cent drop in the US bourse. Investments abroad Chinese investments in mining projects abroad were over $20 billion last year, says Jorge Ramiro Monroy, Managing Director of Emerging Markets Capital. “It invested $7 billion in a Peru gold mine,” he says. China’s strategy, in gold and other minerals and metals, is to avoid disruption of supply and ensure a hedge against price spike, says Monroy. China’s gold-friendly strategy, as StanChart Bank’s East says, is not just aimed at becoming a force to reckon with in the global market but also have under control currency movements. The Chinese yuan dropped to 6.26 against the dollar a few months ago and has recovered to 6.16 currently. Last year, during the same time, it ruled at 6.06. “In a few years’ time, China plans to remove control on its currency movements. At that time, the gold holdings will come into play,” says East. “The Chinese economy has grown 24 per cent in the last three years compared with the US’ 7 per cent. Therefore, it has the money to achieve its objective,” he says. “Chinese investments are by the Government or its agencies, unlike India where the private sector is the one that takes such initiatives,” says Munroy. East and Monroy are surprised over India’s negative thinking against gold and investments in mining. “China and India are a study in contrast. While one is encouraging gold, the other is discouraging,” says East, pointing out to the fact that both these nations account for 60 per cent of global gold imports. India was a force in the gold market until September last year. “India’s measures to increase Customs duty and curb imports through the 80:20 rule, which mandates importers to re-export 20 per cent of the gold brought into the country in value-added form, did drag the market by around $350 an ounce. Since then, India’s hold in the market has loosened,” says East.www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/...
Pain for gold, silver price as hedge fund slash bullish bets Frik Els | September 14, 2014 Pain for gold, silver price as hedge fund slash bullish bets On Friday the price of gold fell again, reaching an 8-month low after five straight days of selling on the back of negative precious metals sentiment among large investors coupled with a strong dollar. On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange in after-hours Friday trade gold for December delivery slid below $1,230 an ounce, a 2.8% retreat for the week to levels last seen early January. After hitting a high of $1,380 in March, gold's retreat accelerated during the third quarter with a loss of 4.5% so far in September alone. Gains since the start of the year are now less than 3%. Hedge funds now hold a neutral position in silver compared to record net longs of 240m ounces only a couple of months ago Bullish bets on gold – net long positions held by large investors like hedge funds – fell again last week, while bullish silver positioning all but evaporated. On a net basis hedge funds hold 71,376 gold lots or 7.1 million ounces, half the year-high of 144,272 while open interest – a measure of market involvement – are hovering near 5-year lows. So-called managed money now hold a neutral position in silver compared to record net longs of 240 million ounces only a couple of months ago according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data for the week to September 9 released after the close of business on Friday. Silver managed slight gains on Friday exchanging hands for $18.62, but still ended the week 3% lower and is not far off levels last seen in July 2010. Silver has performed against expectations this year with many market observers calling for a rise in the price of the metal thanks to essentially flat mining supply, robust industrial buying which accounts for half overall demand and falling inventories in top consumer China. This three-year chart of positioning in silver futures and options shows how dramatically speculators' bets on the volatile metal have swung from bullish to bearish in recent months.
Record leverage op Gold Short posities. Bij een stijging van (iets minder dan) 4%, verliezen veel (short) speculanten hun GEHELE INLEG. Bij een kleine stijging worden de short speculanten al "gebeld" (Margin Calls).
B_B schreef op 12 september 2014 13:18 :
[...]
Shanghai Gold Exchange to Launch International Board on Sept. 29
Move Opens China's Tightly Controlled Gold Market to Foreign Capital
Updated Sept. 11, 2014 6:07 a.m. ET
online.wsj.com/articles/shanghai-gold... 29 september i.p.v. 18 september
China advances gold exchange launch, Singapore delays contract BY A. ANANTHALAKSHMI SINGAPORE, Sept 16 Tue Sep 16, 2014 12:41am EDT (Reuters) - China will launch its international gold exchange 11 days ahead of schedule, sources said on Tuesday , racing ahead in the scramble to set up an Asian bullion benchmark as rival Singapore is forced to delay its gold contract due to technical issues. Asia, home to the world's top two gold buyers - China and India, has been clamouring to gain pricing power over the metal and challenge the dominance of London and New York in trading. The state-run Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) will launch the global gold bourse in the Shanghai free-trade zone on Thursday, two sources familiar with the matter told Reuters. The SGE had initially planned the launch for Sept. 29. The change was made based on the availability of some government officials to participate in the launch event, one of the sources said, adding that all 11 physical gold contracts will begin trading on Thursday. The ability to bring forward the launch, which will mark the first time foreign players will be allowed to participate directly in China's physical gold market - the biggest in the world, shows the country's preparedness with the exchange that it is hoping will become the centre of Asian gold trading. The response has been strong, with the bourse exceeding expectations in signing up trading members, Reuters reported earlier. Meanwhile, Singapore has delayed the launch of its gold contract to October, two other sources said. The 25 kg contract was set to be launched on the Singapore Exchange this month. The delay was due to some technical issues in setting up the trading system, the sources said. Officials at the Singapore Exchange and SGE were not immediately available for comment. CME Group will launch a physically deliverable contract in Hong Kong later this year, while Dubai is also preparing to launch a contract. Thailand is also considering setting up a spot gold exchange. (Editing by Himani Sarkar)www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/16/ch... Toch 18 september een dag na de FED meeting. (Ik wist alleen eerder dan de Shanghai Gold Exchange.)
B_B schreef op 12 september 2014 15:41 :
Dumpt China U.S. Treasuries?
www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10... Stijging in U.S. Treasury Yield is een groot gevaar voor obligaties van Zuid Europese landen.
Wordt de ECB weer gedwongen om heimelijk via Belgie U.S. Treasuries te kopen.
Tue, Sep 16, 2014, 8:07pm EDT Foreigners snub long-term US assets for 2nd month in July Reuters 2 hours ago NEW YORK, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Foreigners sold long-term U.S. securities in July for a second straight month, led by outflows in Treasuries, stocks, and corporate bonds, data from the U.S. Treasury Department showed on Tuesday. Net sales of long-term U.S. assets notched $18.6 billion in July after $18.7 billion the previous month. Including short-dated assets such as bills, overseas investors bought $57.7 billion in U.S. assets, recovering from outflows of $142 billion in June. Private investors bought $84.9 billion in U.S. assets, while official investors, such as central banks, sold $27.1 billion .....finance.yahoo.com/news/foreigners-snu...
di 16 sep 2014, 20:05 'China leent miljarden aan grote banken' PEKING (AFN) - De Chinese centrale bank maakt 500 miljard yuan (62,7 miljard euro) aan kredieten beschikbaar voor de vijf grootste banken van China om zo de economie te stimuleren. Dat meldden Chinese media. De centrale bank is maandag begonnen met de financieringsronde, waarbij aan elke bank 100 miljard yuan wordt verstrekt, aldus de berichten. Het proces wordt naar verluidt dinsdag afgerond. De leningen zouden looptijden hebben van 3 maanden. De Chinese economie vertoont de laatste tijd een wisselend beeld, waardoor zorgen werden aangewakkerd over de groei van de tweede economie van de wereld. De Chinese overheid mikt voor dit jaar op een economische groei met 7,5 procent.www.telegraaf.nl/dft/nieuws_dft/23088... Dit is niet om de economie te stimuleren, maar om de te verwachte volatiliteit te kunnen opvangen.
September 17, 2014 1:57 PM EST China has moved the grand launch of its international gold exchange to this Thursday, from an earlier Sept 29 schedule.The change in schedule was made so that the government officials expected to participate in the launch event will all be present , Reuters quoted an unidentified source.au.ibtimes.com/articles/566560/201409... Een ongeloofwaardig excuus! Vervroegd opening zorgt voor minder kans op manipulatie bij de opening (minder tijd voor de manipulerende banken om voor te bereiden).
Shanghai gold import surges 2014-09-19 11:20XinhuaWeb Editor: Qin Dexing Gold imports travelling through Shanghai's Pudong International Airport surged by 200 percent month on month since June as the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) announces plans to allow foreign investment into China's gold market. In preparation for SGE launching its international board on Thursday, 15.98 billion U.S. dollars worth of gold were delivered through the airport across 48 shipments in the first 8 months of this year. The yuan-denominated board was opened in the China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone, a move to encourage foreign participation in China's tightly controlled gold market. Two tonnes of gold from Switzerland arrived at the Shanghai airport on Thursday and entered into a warehouse 8 hours later with improved customs clearance services. China is the world's largest producer and consumer of gold. The SGE has been the top gold trading location in the world for 7 consecutive years with trading volume reaching 11,600 tonnes in 2013.www.ecns.cn/business/2014/09-19/13526...
Vandaag: quadruple witching. DOW sluit max +50 punten. Alleen een ramp kan een crash veroorzaken. Volgende week komt ISIS (IS) en Ebola dichterbij. Wordt het Alibyebye (BABA)? Mijn winst op GOUD is bijna verdampt, heb ik verkeerd gegokt? I don't think so.
Keek op de week voor goud. Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net via Seeking Alpha, GLD: Lower Lows Will Be Seen Whether You Like It Or Not Summary Seasonality has not helped metals. Lower lows in gold still highly likely. Upcoming week's expectations.seekingalpha.com/article/2509605-gld-...
Why Are The Ultra-Rich Rushing To Buy Gold September 21st, 2014 Did you know that the number of gold bars being purchased by ultra-wealthy individuals has increased by 243 percent so far this year? If stocks are just going to keep soaring, why are they doing this? On Thursday, the Dow Jones industrial average (NYSEARCA:DIA) and the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) both closed at record highs once again. It is a party that never seems to end, and there are a lot of really happy people on Wall Street these days. But those that are discerning realize that we witnessed the exact same kind of bubble behavior during the dotcom boom and during the run up to the last financial crash in 2007. The irrational exuberance that we are witnessing right now cannot go on forever. And the bigger that this bubble gets, the more painful that it is going to be when it finally bursts. Those that get out at the peaks of the market are the ones that usually end up making lots of money. Those that ride stocks all the way up and all the way down are the ones that usually end up getting totally wiped out. ..... Do they know something that we don’t? The ultra-wealthy are able to stay ultra-wealthy for a reason. They are usually a step or two ahead of most of the rest of us. And any rational person should be able to see that this financial bubble is going to end very, very badly.etfdailynews.com/2014/09/21/the-ultra...
Er zijn inderdaad genoeg redenen en aanwijzingen dat goud omhoog MOET gaan voor de wat langere termijn, zie link: seekingalpha.com/article/2509625-afra...
Gold: A Follow Up - The Prospect For 4-Year Lows... Summary Big developments in precious metals this past week. Four-year lows for silver. Dollar stronger despite a "bearish" event. Deviation in precious metals gets wider. How low can gold go?seekingalpha.com/article/2509385-gold...
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