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Vestas Announced Q2 2019 Result

Revenue and earnings decreased compared to last year’s second quarter while free cash flow improved. Highest ever quarterly order intake and combined order backlog at all-time high level. Guidance for 2019 narrowed. In the second quarter of 2019, Vestas generated revenue of EUR 2,121 million a decrease of 6% compared to the year-earlier period. EBIT before special items decreased by EUR 131 million to EUR 128 million. The EBIT margin was 6.0% compared to 11.5% in the second quarter of 2018 and free cash flow* amounted to EUR (75) million compared to EUR (173) million in the second quarter of 2018.

The intake of firm and unconditional wind turbine orders amounted to 5,696 MW in the second quarter of 2019.

The value of the wind turbine order backlog amounted to EUR 15.9 billion as at 30 June 2019. In addition to the wind turbine order backlog, Vestas had service agreements with expected contractual future revenue of EUR 15.6 billion at the end of June 2019. Thus, the value of the combined backlog of wind turbine orders and service agreements stood at EUR 31.5 billion an increase of EUR 8.5bn compared to the year-earlier period.

Vestas narrows the 2019 guidance on revenue to range between EUR 11.0 billion and 12.25 billion (compared to previously EUR 10.75 billion to 12.25 billion), and on EBIT margin before special items to 8-9% (compared to previously 8-10%). Total investments* are expected to amount to approx. EUR 800 million (compared to previously approx. EUR 700 million). The adjustments are based on performance and improved visibility for the remainder of the year.

Group President & CEO Henrik Andersen said that “In the second quarter of 2019, continued high demand for wind energy helped Vestas achieve a record-high order intake of 5.7 GW and 15 percent growth in Service revenue. Based on these strong sales results, our order backlog soared by EUR 8.5bn year-over-year to an all-time high of EUR 31bn, again demonstrating our global leadership in a highly competitive market. Together with our Offshore business’ increased profits, the first half of 2019 highlights the complementarity of our business model’s three main areas, creating a great long-term outlook for Vestas. Prices remained stable in the quarter, but further increases in tariffs, raw material prices and transport costs, continue to increase execution costs, causing our gross margin to decline compared to the same period last year. To finish the year as strongly as possible and prepare for high activity levels in 2020, we remain focused on executing our strategy and delivering an extraordinarily busy second half of 2019.”

Key highlights
Highest ever quarterly order intake and all-time high order backlog
5.7 GW of order intake in Q2 including first order for the new EnVentus platform

Total revenue of EUR 2,121m
Six percent decrease compared to Q2 2018

EBIT of EUR 128m
EBIT margin at 6.0 percent impacted by competitive markets, tariffs, and back-end loaded activity level

Strong service performance
Revenue growth of 15 percent, and EBIT margin of 28.4 percent

Increasing profit in MHI Vestas Offshore Wind
Net profit of EUR 22m; an underlying improvement of EUR 49m YoY

Outlook 2019
Guidance for 2019 narrowed for revenue and EBIT margin based on performance and improved visibility

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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China Brings Solar Home

China is the biggest manufacturer of solar photovoltaics, and with declining local costs coupled with potential pollution reduction and health co-benefits, domestic use of solar photovoltaics might surge even more dramatically in the very near future. For a while it looked like the world was comfortably settled into a bipolar order. The production pole was centred in and around China where many of the world’s goods and toys were made. The consumption pole, while increasingly scattered, still centred on the United States and Europe. This applied to solar photovoltaics as well, with the European Union particularly Germany catalysing massive uptake of household solar PV systems using significant subsidies. China was where most of these solar panels were being made. The manufacturing still continues to be concentrated in China, but now the consumption has shifted rapidly to China as well. In 2015, China had a total deployed solar capacity of 43 GW compared to more than 94 GW in the EU1. Last year China’s total deployed capacity of 175 GW dwarfed the EU’s 115 GW. China is now not only the world’s biggest producer of solar panels, but also of solar-generated electricity.

There are signs that the demand for solar PVs in China is far from fully expressed. Both the United States and Europe have been attractive markets for Chinese-produced solar cells. However, recent policy changes might incentivize producers to further target local Chinese markets. In the United States, the tariffs imposed on imports of solar panels in 2017 had a negative impact on solar system deployment and thousands of jobs were lost in the sector, mostly in installation3. Faced by rising stocks, China cut its own subsidies, leading solar panel producers to significantly reduce prices to offload large inventory internationally, despite tariffs4. Even then Chinese internal consumption and installations grew significantly through 2017 and 2018, showing greater viability of China as a competitive market2. Increased intensity in trade wars and US policy discouraging the uptake of solar PV (such as tariffs on panel imports) may by creating unsold inventory depress the prices of solar systems internally for China, further increasing local uptake. Removal or tapering down of subsidies in other markets in Europe may have a similar effect.

The low price of solar systems, as well as the low labour costs for installation, means that achieving cost parity with the grid may be easier in China than in Europe or the United States, where overall household solar system costs continue to be comparatively higher. An Analysis in this issue shows just that; Jinyue Yan and colleagues in Sweden and China estimate the costs for solar electricity derived from both household and grid-scale systems, in each prefecture or city in China. They find that in all of the 344 prefectures, household solar systems can now generate electricity at a cost equal to, or lower than, the local grid-supplied electricity. Grid-level solar electricity systems can also generate electricity at a cost lower than coal-generated electricity in more than 20% of the prefectures.

This grid parity is a critical milestone made even more remarkable by the fact that the solar electricity costs estimated by the researchers do not include subsidies. Doubtless these prices will continue to vary in the near future depending on national and international policy but the trend is downwards and continuing. Grid parity provides the economic incentive for domestic consumers to buy into solar home systems and signals a potentially massive uptake of the technology in households in the near future.

Future policy-making is also expected to benefit solar uptake in China, particularly because of solar co-benefits such as pollution reduction and consequent public health and urban liveability gains. Urban air pollution negatively affects the lives of tens of millions of Chinese city dwellers in particular and has emerged as one of the most important concerns facing the Chinese government in recent years.

In an Article in our July issue, Bart Sweerts and colleagues quantify the pollution reduction gains of solar energy uptake. They start with a recently compiled dataset of measured irradiance from 119 stations all over China between 1960 and 2015. Using irradiance data, they estimate solar energy potentials in 1960 and 2015 and find that the accumulated pollution due to coal power plant emissions during this period reduced solar energy production potential by close to 13%. Adopting solar PV thus creates a feedback loop where pollution reduction gains lead to greater solar energy production. Findings like this provide a clear signal to Chinese policymakers that mass-scale solar PV adoption reduces air pollution beside direct energy and climate gains.

With growing economic and social impetus, China might be on the brink of further exponential growth in solar PV deployment. It certainly has the industrial base to facilitate such an energy transition once the social and economic tipping points are reached. The scaling in production needed to meet the potentially rising demand is something that China has done in the past and is certainly capable of in the future. China is also a country that is reinventing itself physically faster than any other country in the world. Entire new cities appear to have emerged on the skyline in the past decade and while the pace of development may have slowed down recently there continues to be plenty of opportunity to build human habitats and energy systems in entirely new ways. A new world is afoot in China and it may be powered by solar energy.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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