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Aandeel TomTom AEX:TOM2.NL, NL0013332471

  • 5,695 31 mei 2024 17:35
  • 0,000 (0,00%) Dagrange 5,605 - 5,735
  • 246.504 Gem. (3M) 280,6K

TT vrijdag 21 december

160 Posts
Pagina: «« 1 2 3 4 5 6 ... 8 »» | Laatste | Omlaag ↓
  1. [verwijderd] 21 december 2012 11:50
    quote:

    Straddleman schreef op 21 december 2012 11:28:

    [...]

    Over bewust valse informatie gesproken.

    Dit is een prachtig voorbeeld.

    Rabo rapport klopt gewoon. Er is een verhoogde kans op overnamewens Apple. Maar dat wil toch niet zeggen dat het binnen een week gebeurt?

    Ik zou zeggen dat als het gebeurt, dat het binnen een halfjaar is. Naarmate de tijd verstrekt, en Apple Maps mogelijk beter wordt, neemt de kans af. Tot nu toe is echter niets merkbaar van verbetering, ze zitten nog steeds met de handen in het haar.

    Een verhoogde kans biedt bovendien geen zekerheid, maar verandert wel de risk-reward. En zonder overname vinden ze de waarde 4,20. Dus echt een buil kan je je ook niet vallen.

    ---------------------------------------

    TomTom’s strategic direction is clear: reduce PND exposure, license more technology and maps, strengthening ties with automotive OEM’s, capture the traffic technology opportunity (HD traffic). What remains unclear is the direction and future of TomTom’s relationship with Apple. On June 2012 TomTom signed a partnership agreement with Apple.

    The TomTom-Apple license partnership is very secretive. Nobody wants to tell what TomTom exactly is actually licensing to Apple. Nor is there any information about the pricing or the business model. What we have understand is that TomTom’s revenues from Apple are for a large part a fixed sum and that a small part is more volume based.
    Apple under high pressure to fix its mapping issues

    During our recent meetings with TomTom management the company did not want to go much deeper into TomTom’s relationship with Apple. TomTom stated that it is selling maps and other content to Apple, and that TomTom has people working for the Apple mapping team. The recent departure of Apple’s head of software development and its head of mapping software highlights the enormous challenges Apple has with its heavily criticized mapping application. Apple management is under strong pressure to deliver a quick fix for its mapping software issues.

    So we conclude that Apple has a major mapping problem and that it has to do everything it can to make the maps app better. In light of Apple’s failure to produce a mapping application that delivers the content and accuracy expected by the millions of iPhone users, there is one move which Apple could made now in our view: acquire TomTom. The best way to acquire a high number of quality professionals needed is to make a wholesale purchase of its primary mapping supplier.

    Just as Nokia acquired NAVTEQ, we believe that Apple needs to go “all in” with mapping technology through acquiring TomTom. When it comes to wrong or incomplete map data, a lot of the problem wasn't that Apple didn't have the data, rather it wasn't integrating it correctly. Often the underlying TomTom map had the correct data, but Apple have overlaid incorrect information from third party sources. Owning TomTom will help this process as its has the experience to correctly integrate data from a number of different sources.

    Apple can fully monetize TomTom’s maps
    Since the maps fiasco, Apple’s share price fell from a level of USD 705 towards a current level of USD 540, this reflects a market cap loss of USD 155bn. Of course one cannot completely attribute this loss to the failed launch of the Apple map application.

    Still, the maps failure and the public apologies from CEO Tim Cook from Apple has lowered investor’s confidence in the company. The economic rationale of the deal is clear: TomTom is unable to fully monetize its mapping assets and expertise as a standalone company. However, Apple can monetize the maps across hundreds of millions of users worldwide. Therefore the earnings potential of the maps is much higher for Apple than for TomTom.

    Buy TomTom, keep the maps, sell the remainder back to the founders
    It's unlikely that Apple would pay the EUR 2.9bn for the maps, as TomTom did when it bought TeleAtlas after the bidding war with Garmin. Since the acquisition of TeleAtlas it has wrote down EUR 1bn of the value in 2010. As it was originally was acquired for EUR 2.9bn, we believe that TomTom would ask at least EUR 1.9bn for its mapping unit.

    In our view the most easy way for Apple to gain control of TomTom’s valuable maps would be to make a knock-out cash bid for the entire company. Following the completion of the acquisition, it could then sell the assets which have no value for Apple back to the TomTom founders and/or private equity. After the sale to Apple, TomTom will take a long term map license from Apple as it of course needs the map data for the PND, Automotive and Fleet Management businesses. This would be the same situation as Garmin which is licensing its map data from Navteq (Nokia).

    How much is TomTom worth to Apple?
    Since the maps fiasco, Apple’s share price fell from a level of USD 705 towards a current level of USD 540, this reflects a market cap loss of USD 155bn. Of course one cannot completely attribute this loss to the failed launch of the Apple map application.

    Still, the maps failure and the public apologies from CEO Tim Cook from Apple has lowered investor’s confidence in the company. The economic rationale of a deal is pretty straightforward: TomTom is unable to fully monetize its mapping assets and expertise as a standalone company. However, Apple can monetize the maps across hundreds of millions of iOS users worldwide.

    Therefore the revenue potential of the maps is much higher for Apple than for TomTom. We believe that Apple could be willing to pay EUR 2bn (USD 2.6bn) for the maps, the mapping expertise and all the mapping employees, and EUR 300-500m for the other parts (PND, Webfleet and Automotive). For Apple, EUR 2bn represents 2% of its USD 125bn war chest and 6% of its USD 47bn estimated free cash flow for the current book year.

    Rabobank International – GFM Equity Research
  2. forum rang 4 JvH 21 december 2012 11:55
    quote:

    brunette30 schreef:

    scheelt bijna 17 cent met de hoogste koers van vandaag, moet niet gekker worden
    Expiratie belangen op 3.80, dus zo gek is dat niet. Nu trouwens erg zenuwachtige handel in alle fondsen, het lijkt erop of alle dalingen meteen worden opgevangen ivm expiratie belangen.
  3. [verwijderd] 21 december 2012 11:57
    quote:

    *Justin* schreef op 21 december 2012 11:50:

    [...]

    Rabo rapport klopt gewoon. Er is een verhoogde kans op overnamewens
    Ik vind een 30% kans op overname geen verhoogde kans.
    Een 70% kans op geen overname daarentegen...
    Ik zet vooral mijn vraagtekens bij de percentages die ze gebruiken, niet of tomtom wel/niet wordt overgenomen. Daar hou ik me niet mee bezig.

  4. wooky 21 december 2012 12:14
    quote:

    JvH schreef:

    [quote=Ronka]
    ik vind het mooi geweest, shorts (cfd)gesloten EN!!!nu long gegaan (stukken). Er zou nu toch wel een herstelletje moeten komen
    [/quote]

    Ronnepon, jij weet niet dat de futures rond de 180 punten in de min staan?

    www.investing.com/indices/indices-cfds
    ik heb het nu over tt
  5. [verwijderd] 21 december 2012 12:15
    quote:

    JvH schreef op 21 december 2012 12:02:

    [...]

    Ronnepon, jij weet niet dat de futures rond de 180 punten in de min staan?

    www.investing.com/indices/indices-cfds
    Ronka heeft het over CFD`s TomTom short uiteraard. Niet over de futures, daarnaast weten we niet over hij in de futures misschien ook wel short zit toch?
160 Posts
Pagina: «« 1 2 3 4 5 6 ... 8 »» | Laatste |Omhoog ↑

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