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Steel Shakeup: ArcelorMittal SA's Shutdown Signals Economic Strain By Strategic Research Institute on Dec 12, 2023 11:35 am Synopsis: ArcelorMittal South Africa's decision to shutter operations in Newcastle and Vereeniging, eliminating 3,500 jobs, sends a stark message about the country's economic challenges. The steel giant cites inefficiencies in Transnet and Eskom, coupled with policy blunders, for its financial woes. President Cyril Ramaphosa's reform agenda faces scrutiny as job losses loom. The closures, set for January 2024, underscore broader issues, including declining demand, infrastructure woes, and regulatory missteps, casting a shadow over the nation's steel industry. Article: In a significant economic upheaval, ArcelorMittal South Africa, the continent's largest steelmaker, has announced the closure of its operations in Newcastle and Vereeniging, starting January 2024. The move puts 3,500 jobs at risk and lays bare the challenges plaguing the country's steel industry. The CEO of ArcelorMittal South Africa, Kobus Verster, pointed to systemic issues affecting the economy during a press briefing. The company, once profitable, witnessed a staggering swing from a R3-billion profit in H1 2022 to a R448-million loss in the same period this year. The closures, a drastic measure, spotlight the grim reality of South Africa's economic landscape. Verster highlighted the unreliability of Transnet and Eskom as key contributors to ArcelorMittal's financial woes. Inefficiencies in Transnet's rail network forced the company to resort to road transportation, incurring substantial losses and increasing operational costs. Eskom's blackouts further compounded the challenges, disrupting steel production processes. The broader context reveals a decline in demand for long steel products over the past seven years, coupled with a lack of large-scale infrastructure projects. South Africa's crude steel manufacturing capacity far exceeds current demand, leaving companies like ArcelorMittal grappling with excess capacity. Policy blunders by the Department of Trade, Industry, and Competition (DTIC) exacerbated the situation. The introduction of a preferential pricing system for scrap, a 20% export duty, and a ban on scrap exports tilted the playing field, favoring steel production via electric arc furnaces. This further disadvantaged companies relying on iron ore, such as ArcelorMittal. Industry voices, including the Steel and Engineering Industries Federation of Southern Africa (Seifsa), have called for urgent intervention from President Cyril Ramaphosa to rectify the policy blunders. The repercussions extend beyond the steel industry, affecting related sectors like auto, motor, construction, and mining. As ArcelorMittal prepares to wind down operations, the CEO expressed openness to talks with the government. However, skepticism prevails about the government's ability to address the complex problems facing the steel industry. Conclusion: ArcelorMittal South Africa's decision to close operations serves as a poignant symbol of the multifaceted challenges gripping the nation's steel industry. Beyond being a financial setback for the company, it underscores systemic issues related to infrastructure, energy, and policy missteps. The impending job losses add urgency to calls for intervention from the government to steer the industry toward recovery. As the steel giant navigates a winding-down process, the fate of South Africa's steel sector hangs in the balance, requiring comprehensive and swift measures to avert a broader economic catastrophe. Bron Steelguru (via email)
Wollin schreef op 12 december 2023 09:25 :
Mooie rit geweest, ben eruit gestapt op 24,50 voor de andere helft.
Dikke winst mogen behalen, suc6 mensen
Succes gewenst.
Een heel groot verschil met vanmorgen, dus maar weer wat aangekocht ;-))
Dat zie je niet vaak. Op de knooplijst gezet en een mooie 3,5% + naar de min Dus de rest maar weer bijgekocht
Nog iets te vroeg. Kon zelf helaas niet handelen.
Woensdag: Iron ore Dalian - 2,5% Iron Ore Falls After China Policy Meet Disappoints on Stimulus Liz Yee Xing Ng, Bloomberg News (Bloomberg) -- Iron ore fell after a widely-watched government policy meeting in China finished without any major new stimulus pledges. The steel-making staple lost as much as 2.9% in Singapore. The Communist Party’s annual economic work conference said industrial policy would be the top priority next year, disappointing investors who had been looking for more measures to support the country’s ailing economy. The policy plans will be a letdown to anyone who had hoped to see China shift gears to revive growth and confidence with massive stimulus in 2024, according to Eric Zhu, an economist at Bloomberg Economics. The tone of the comments on macro policy remained accommodative, but with few hints of a more aggressive stance, he said.
Om 15.46 uur een flink volume en toen een kwartier lang wat hogere volumes maar toen weer normaal.
Arcelor amerika sky high. Omzet zowel amsterdam als amerika erg hoog.. Succes morgen. 03haR U.S. Steel received multiple bids in excess of $40 a share, sources say PUBLISHED WED, DEC 13 20239:43 AM ESTUPDATED 4 HOURS AGO KEY POINTS * U.S. Steel has received multiple bids in excess of $40 per share, sources told CNBC’s David Faber. * U.S. Steel’s board is meeting Wednesday, the sources said * Cleveland-Cliffs’ bid is above $40 a share, a mixture of cash and stock. This is higher than its original offer of $35 a share made in August. * CNBC previously reported U.S. Steel has attracted five bidders, including ArcelorMittal.
Eind van de middag ingestapt. Erg benieuwd naar de ontwikkelingen morgen!
Beursupdate: AEX op Wall Street Door ABM Financial News op woensdag 13 december 2023 Views: 6.096 (ABM FN-Dow Jones) Op Wall Street zijn woensdag alle acht AEX-genoteerde fondsen ten opzichte van het slot in Amsterdam hoger gesloten. Aegon (+0,30%)ArcelorMittal (+1,44%) ASML (+1,03%) ING Groep (+1,1%) Philips (+0,84%) RELX (+0,02%) Royal Dutch Shell (+0,38%) Unilever (+0,25%) Euro/dollar: 1,0877 Op basis van de bovenstaande koersuitslagen zou de AEX index, die sloot op 787,02 punten, zijn geëindigd op 790,38 punten. Bron: ABM Financial News
CNBC previously reported U.S. Steel has attracted five bidders, including ArcelorMittal. U.S. Steel’s board is meeting Wednesday, the sources said. The sale process is coming to a conclusion, but this does not mean there will be an announcement of the outcome Thursday morning. Cleveland-Cliffs ’ current bid is above $40 a share which is higher than its original offer of $35 a share made last summer, the sources said. The composition of Cleveland-Cliffs’ original bid was $17.50 in cash per share and the rest in stock. The current bid has a similar composition though it may be weighted more toward cash, the sources said.Cleveland-Cliffs is expected to structure its bid to mitigate the risk of antitrust review. This could potentially include a reverse termination fee or a divestiture package, though nothing is certain. If Cleveland-Cliffs prevails, its combination with U.S. Steel would account for 40% of flat-rolled steel and 60% of auto-grade steel in the U.S. The combined company would be the 10th-largest steel producer worldwide.[The details of ArcelorMittal’s bid are less clear, though the company apparently had financing that would have allowed it to offer $45 a share in all cash . Don’t miss these stories from CNBC PRO:
ArcelorMittal Has Become An Attractive Value Stock ArcelorMittal Has Become An Attractive Value Stock Dec. 13, 2023 10:22 AM ET ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) Stock 2 Comments Aristofanis Papadatos 8.47K Followers Summary - ArcelorMittal was characterized by highly cyclical performance in the past. - However, the company has nearly eliminated its interest expense and has greatly reduced its share count thanks to its blowout earnings in the last three years. - As a result, it has greatly improved its mid-cycle earnings per share. - The company has a cheap valuation, trading at a low multiple of its expected earnings, and has promising growth prospects. ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT) incurred the worst accident in its history on October 28th, 2023, when it lost 46 of its employees in Kazakhstan. The stock shed 3% on that day. Since then, the stock has rallied 20% but it has still underperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin over the last 12 months (-5% vs. +16%). In addition, the steel producer has an exceptionally cheap valuation, as it is trading at 5.5 times its expected earnings this year. Given also its promising growth prospects, the drastic reduction of its debt and its aggressive share repurchases, ArcelorMittal has become an attractive value stock. Business overview ArcelorMittal is one of the largest steel producers in the world, with operations in the Americas, Europe, Asia and Africa. It was founded in 1976 and is based in Luxembourg. On October 28th, 2023, ArcelorMittal experienced the worst accident in its history, in Kazakhstan. From the 252 employees who were working underground, 206 were safely evacuated but 46 people lost their lives. The company provided ample compensation to the families of the victims but, of course, the incident remains a disaster. This accident is a stern reminder of the risks related to mining operations. On the bright side, due to this accident, ArcelorMittal initiated a comprehensive third-party audit of all its safety practices. The company will take a deep look in all its policies, standards, processes and procedures. As a result, it is likely to significantly improve its safety standards in the upcoming years. In other words, the accident was a tragic event but the worse seems to be behind the company. Most investors avoid ArcelorMittal for its highly cyclical performance record. As a steel producer, the company is inevitably sensitive to the cycles of the price of steel. To be sure, ArcelorMittal has posted material losses in 5 of the last 10 years. Investors should generally avoid stocks with highly cyclical and unreliable performance. However, ArcelorMittal seems to have greatly improved and smoothened its performance. When the global economy began to recover from the coronavirus crisis, the demand for steel rebounded strongly while global supply was limited due to supply chain disruptions. As a result, the price of steel skyrocketed to an all-time high in late 2021. Even better, while the price of steel has moderated, it remains above historical average prices thanks to the sustained demand for steel. Investors should be aware that steel is a critical component in wind power projects and other green energy projects, which have greatly increased in the last three years. Thanks to the secular tailwind from the boom in clean energy projects, ArcelorMittal has enjoyed blowout profits in the last three years. It switched from a loss per share of -$0.64 in 2020 to all-time high earnings per share of $13.41 in 2021 and posted earnings per share of $11.39 in 2022. To provide a perspective, the sum of the earnings of ArcelorMittal in 2021 and 2022 is almost equal to its current stock price. As the price of steel has moderated this year, ArcelorMittal is expected by analysts to earn “only” $4.68 per share this year. Notably, the stock is trading at only 5.5 times its expected earnings. More importantly, the company has taken full advantage of its blowout earnings in the last three years and thus it has permanently boosted its mid-cycle earnings per share. ArcelorMittal has drastically reduced its net debt, from $21.8 billion in 2012 to $4.3 billion now. As a result, it has nearly eliminated its net interest expense, from $1.9 billion in 2012 to $0.2 billion now. Voor meer, zie link:seekingalpha.com/article/4657680-arce...
Aldus Aristofanis Papadatos ..... ;-))
Beursupdate: AEX op Wall Street Door ABM Financial News op donderdag 14 december 2023 Views: 6.460 (ABM FN-Dow Jones) Op Wall Street zijn donderdag vier van de acht AEX-genoteerde fondsen ten opzichte van het slot in Amsterdam hoger gesloten en vier lager. Per saldo bleef de index daardoor stabiel. Aegon (-0,63%)ArcelorMittal (+0,26%) ASML (+0,50%) ING Groep (+0,09%) Philips (-0,54%) RELX (-0,02%) Royal Dutch Shell (+0,45%) Unilever (-0,51%) Euro/dollar: 1,0993 Op basis van de bovenstaande koersuitslagen zou de AEX index, die in Amsterdam sloot op 789,91 punten, zijn geëindigd op 789,88 punten. Bron: ABM Financial News
ArcelorMittal Gent: Steelanol's Ethanol Triumph By Strategic Research Institute on Dec 15, 2023 10:47 am Synopsis: Steelanol’s Ghent plant achieved a groundbreaking feat, initiating large-scale ethanol production from captured carbon gases. This pioneering initiative, led by ArcelorMittal, LanzaTech, ERM (now E4tech), and Primetals Technologies, exemplifies Europe’s first Carbon Capture and Utilization (CCU) endeavor, promising to significantly reduce annual carbon emissions while producing sustainable ethanol for diverse applications. Article: In a remarkable achievement, Steelanol’s CCU plant in Ghent, Belgium, marked a monumental milestone in November 2023 with the commencement of large-scale ethanol production. This historic event heralds the pinnacle of the plant’s operational excellence in converting captured carbon-rich industrial gases into ethanol, epitomizing Europe’s inaugural Carbon Capture and Utilization initiative. The heart of this transformative breakthrough lies in the innovative process developed by LanzaTech, akin to the workings of a brewery. Through this process, carbon-rich gases, captured from ArcelorMittal Ghent’s blast furnaces, are ingeniously converted into sustainable ethanol using proprietary bacteria, termed “biocatalyst.” The impact of Steelanol’s initiative extends far beyond emissions reduction. By potentially curbing 125,000 tons of carbon emissions annually, the plant ushers in a new era of sustainability, transforming carbon waste into a valuable resource, ethanol. This versatile end product holds promise across industries, from sustainable aviation fuel to household cleaning products. The journey towards large-scale ethanol production began with meticulous groundwork in December 2022, followed by rigorous phases of process calibration and inoculation. June 2023 marked a significant milestone with the production of the first ethanol-laden samples, a testament to the meticulous planning and execution of this groundbreaking initiative. LanzaTech’s pioneering biorecycling technology emerges as a beacon of hope for the steel industry, offering a viable solution for emissions reduction and carbon repurposing. This collaborative effort between Primetals Technologies and LanzaTech, spanning over a decade, signifies a commitment to sustainability, innovation, and transformative strides in environmental stewardship. Conclusion: Steelanol's successful initiation of large-scale ethanol production from captured carbon gases represents a transformative leap towards sustainability. This pioneering collaboration underscores the potential of converting carbon waste into valuable resources, offering a promising solution for emissions reduction and fostering sustainability in diverse industries. Bron Steelguru (via email)
STEELBENCHMARKER PRICES December 11, 2023 Dollars per Metric Tonne -- Pct Change (net ton) [gross ton] {Euros} Region: USA, East of the Mississippi Hot-rolled band: 1114 (1011) 10% Cold-rolled coil: 1301 (1180) 4% Standard plate: 1590 (1442) 6% Shredded scrap*: 443 [450] 11% #1 Heavy melting scrap: 352 [358] 5% #1 Busheling scrap: 454 [461] 6% Region: Mainland China*** Hot-rolled band: 485 2% Cold-rolled coil: 575 1% Rebar: 477 1% Standard plate: 483 1% Region: Western Europe Hot-rolled band: 735 {680} 4% Region: World Export Market Hot-rolled band: 595 1% To receive SteelBenchmarker graphic and tabular price history, register as a "provider" at www.steelbenchmarker.com. NOTES: E-mailed December 14, 2023 at 9:00 a.m. to Non-Provider Receivers. The first price release was for April 10, 2006. If a product is not listed or a price is not indicated, fewer than ten (10) price inputs were received at this time. Prices are: USA -- FOB mill; Western Europe and China -- Ex-works; and World Export Market -- FOB port of export. For USA steel scrap -- delivered to the steel plant. *For shredded scrap the region is "for all but the West Coast". For product specifications go to www.steelbenchmarker.com/specifications. *** SteelHome's non-steelbenchmarker derived average price for each product is the determinant of the Chinese ex-works benchmark price. It is published for comparative purposes.
ArcelorMittal S.A.'s (AMS:MT) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 93% Above Its Share Price Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, ArcelorMittal fair value estimate is €47.69 ArcelorMittal is estimated to be 48% undervalued based on current share price of €24.73 Our fair value estimate is 53% higher than ArcelorMittal's analyst price target of US$31.22 Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of ArcelorMittal S.A. (AMS:MT) by estimating the company's future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model is the tool we will apply to do this. Don't get put off by the jargon, the math behind it is actually quite straightforward. Remember though, that there are many ways to estimate a company's value, and a DCF is just one method. For those who are keen learners of equity analysis, the Simply Wall St analysis model here may be something of interest to you. See our latest analysis for ArcelorMittal Vervolg: .....https://finance.yahoo.com/news/arcelormittal-ams-mt-intrinsic-value-085412941.html
Designated Person Notification ArcelorMittal S.A. Thu, December 14, 2023 at 2:20 PM GMT+1·1 min read 14 December 2023, 14:20 CET With reference to Article 19(3) of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (Market Abuse Regulations), ArcelorMittal announces that a notification of share transaction by a Designated Person (i.e. Directors or Executive Officers) is available in the Luxembourg Stock Exchange’s electronic database OAM on www.bourse.lu and on ArcelorMittal’s web site www.arcelormittal.com under Investors > Share Transactions by Management:corporate.arcelormittal.com/investors...
US Steel board to meet again this weekend on takeover bids 09:50 AM | ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) | By: SA Editor Joshua Fineman, SA News Editor Voor meer, zie link:seekingalpha.com/news/4046848-us-stee...
Hoe deed Arcelor het deze week t.o.v. de andere AEX fondsen? (+5.16%) Een lekker weekje weer.
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